The Elegant (and Scary) Math Behind Social Distancing 
Sunday, April 26, 2020, 06:19 AM
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Social distancing is based on the dramatically increasing higher probability of spreading an infectious disease as the size of a social gathering increases. Based on a mathematical report by quantitative biologist Joshua Weitz of Georgia Tech and the projected 20,000 cases of COVID-19 in the US (at that time), in a small group gathering of 10 or so individuals, there would only be a 0.061% chance an attendee would be infected with the virus.
Attending a sporting or similar event with 10,000 people, on the other hand, would increase the odds to 45%, and attending a huge sporting event like March Madness basketball or the Super Bowl would create a near 100% chance that at least one individual would be carrying and likely spreading infectious disease.

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